/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F11%2Fayrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhiblog.png)
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Scott McMann
48'
-
George Oakley
77'
-
Marco Rus
83'
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Nectar Triantis
2'
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Rocky Bushiri
86'
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Nicky Cadden
90'
Ayr United vs Hibernian - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result
Ayr United
40.63%
▲
(+0.47)
Draw
26.04%
▲
(+0.20)
Hibernian
33.33%
▼
(-0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
53.62%
▼
(-0.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.26%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 2.5
50.74%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 3.5
27.36%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 3.5
72.64%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 4.5
12.89%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 4.5
87.11%
▲
(+0.57)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5
75.35%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
24.65%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
40.84%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
59.16%
▲
(+0.27)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5
71.16%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
28.84%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 1.5
35.3%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
64.7%
▲
(+1.11)
Score analysis
Ayr United
40.63%
Draw
26.03%
Hibernian
33.33%
Ayr United
1-0
@
9.95%
▲
(+0.33)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.63%
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.63%
Draw
1-1
@
12.37%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
Hibernian
0-1
@
8.84%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.33%
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.33%
Scott McKenna
45'