Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.