Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Kilmarnock
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Motherwell
  • Marley Watkins 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 38'
  • yellowcard Ewan Wilson 71'

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 5, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Ross County
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 5, 2025 2.30pm
Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Slattery

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Kilmarnock 52.6% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 23.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Motherwell 23.48% ▲ (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.61% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 47.56% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.23% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 69.77% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 14.83% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 85.17% ▼ (-0.16)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 65.41% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 34.58% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 1.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 1.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.43)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 52.6%
Draw 23.91%
Motherwell 23.48%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 52.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.91%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.48%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Motherwell
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
Kilmarnock
  • Liam Gordon 17' goal
  • Harry Paton 56' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 77' redcard
  • yellowcard David Watson 45'
  • goal Liam Polworth 74'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 78'
  • yellowcard J 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 90'+3'
Scottish League Cup
Motherwell
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET Fir Park
Kilmarnock
  • Dan Casey 48' yellowcard
  • Moses Ebiye 96' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 44'
  • redcard Stuart Findlay 51'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 87'
  • yellowcard Kieran O'Hara 90'+5'
  • yellowcard David Watson 95'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 110'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Motherwell
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
Kilmarnock
  • Theo Bair 38' goal
  • Calum Butcher 80' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 85' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Mayo 13'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 48'
  • yellowcard Greg Stewart 80'
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin van Veen 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Motherwell
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 49' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 32'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Motherwell
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fir Park
Kilmarnock
  • Stephen O'Donnell 43' yellowcard
  • Brodie Spencer 52' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 57' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 59' goal
  • Harry Paton 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 71' yellowcard
  • Paul McGinn 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Paton 90'+8' goal
  • goal Marley Watkins 12'
  • yellowcard Marley Watkins 32'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 66'
  • yellowcard David Watson 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Motherwell
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
Kilmarnock
  • Blair Spittal 4' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 90'+1' goal

Form Data

Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Ross County
Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St Mirren
Hibernian 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 4 - 0 Aberdeen
Motherwell 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hearts
Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Hearts 1 - 0 Motherwell
Motherwell 2 - 2 Rangers
Celtic 4 - 0 Motherwell
Motherwell 1 - 1 Kilmarnock
Motherwell 4 - 3 Dundee Utd