Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
| 52.6% ( | 23.91% ( | 23.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( | 18.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% ( | 48.94% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( | 71.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.48% |