Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St Mirren

Anderson (8', 65' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (21'), Gogic (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Dundee
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
39.05% ( 0.19)	27.06% ( 0.03)	33.88% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

-0.15)

54.82% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88% (

-0.12)

76.12% (

0.12)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

0.04)

27.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

0.05)

62.84% (

-0.05)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.22)

30.5% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

-0.26)

66.72% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 39.04%

St Mirren 33.88%

Draw 27.06%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.04%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.88%