Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Nectar Triantis 25' goal
  • Hyeok-Kyu Kwon 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 44'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 59'
  • redcard Danny Armstrong 63'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 90'+5'

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 12.30pm
Hearts 1 - 2 Hibernian
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 4 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.

Result

Hibernian 54.88% (+0.08)
Draw 23.32% (-0.03)
Kilmarnock 21.8% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.16% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.85% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 30.9% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.1% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.3% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.7% (-0.04)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 83.06% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 16.94% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 52.98% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 47.02% (-0.09)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.74% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.51% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hibernian 54.88%
Draw 23.32%
Kilmarnock 21.8%
Hibernian
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 54.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.32%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Corrie Ndaba 8' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 58' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 90'+2' goal
  • goal Joe Newell 50'
  • yellowcard Mykola Kukharevych 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 70'
  • yellowcard Lewis Miller 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Joe Wright 17' yellowcard
  • Dylan Vente 25' goal
  • Matty Kennedy 54' goal
  • Corrie Ndaba 73' redcard
  • Matty Kennedy 90' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Newell 66'
  • goal Myziane Maolida 81'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Marcondes 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Josh Campbell 36' goal
  • Josh Campbell 36' goal
  • Josh Campbell 89' yellowcard
  • Lewis Miller 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 36'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 36'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 51'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 51'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 61'
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 82'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 61' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 68' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 79' goal
  • Robbie Deas 81' yellowcard
  • Kyle Magennis 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Will Dennis 8' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lewis Miller 24'
  • yellowcard Will Fish 54'
  • goal Dylan Vente 59'
  • yellowcard Martin Boyle 89'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 90'+4'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Will Fish 16' goal
  • Matthew Hoppe 47' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 53' goal