Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 2, 2025 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 0
Motherwell

Drammeh (7')
Forrester (66'), Devlin (67'), Grant (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Casey (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
57.61% ( -0.09)	22.13% ( 0.03)	20.26% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38% (

-0.07)

43.62% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

-0.07)

66.01% (

0.06)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11% (

-0.05)

14.88% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.76% (

-0.09)

43.24% (

0.09)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57% (

0.01)

35.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8% (

0.01)

72.19% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hearts 57.61%

Motherwell 20.26%

Draw 22.13%

Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.61%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.13%	0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.26%