Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22

Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Wilson (34'), Maswanhise (45')
Zdravkovski (8'), Kettlewell (9'), Maswanhise (15')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Palaversa (70'), Shinnie (85')
Rubezic (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-2 Ross County
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
37.2% ( -0.8)	25.68% ( -0.15)	37.11% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

0.7)

48.76% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

0.63)

70.87% (

-0.64)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-0.12)

25.58% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0.16)

60.46% (

0.16)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

0.86)

25.63% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

1.16)

60.52% (

-1.17)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 37.2%

Aberdeen 37.11%

Draw 25.67%

Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.11%