Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 54.89% ( | 23.89% | 21.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( | 49.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( | 71.87% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% | 18.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( | 38.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.21% ( | 74.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.22% |