Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27

Feb 23, 2025 at 12pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Hearts

Sidibeh (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kabangu (36', 57')
Penrice (61'), Kabangu (90+5'), Taylor (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, February 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
27.15% ( -0.18)	26.23% ( 0.11)	46.62% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.97% (

-0.5)

54.03% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.42)

75.46% (

0.42)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0.42)

34.97% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.29% (

-0.44)

71.71% (

0.44)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

-0.18)

23.15% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

-0.26)

57.02% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 27.15%

Hearts 46.61%

Draw 26.22%

St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.15%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.61%