Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.