Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 57.4% ( | 23.19% ( | 19.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( | 71.36% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( | 16.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53% ( | 47% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( | 39.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( | 76.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 4-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.4% |