St Johnstone logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Motherwell logo

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Motherwell

Kirk (9')
Griffith (58'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blaney (52'), Sparrow (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between St Johnstone and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 St Johnstone
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Motherwell
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawMotherwell
38.96%24.76%36.28%
Both teams to score 58.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44%44.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07%66.93%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25%22.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57%56.43%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84%24.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53%58.47%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 38.96%
    Motherwell 36.28%
    Draw 24.75%
St JohnstoneDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.96%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
2-1
St Johnstone
Maswanhise (20'), Sparrow (32')
Balmer (80')
Clark (58' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
St Johnstone
1-2
Motherwell
Mbunga-Kimpioka (64')
MacPherson (51'), Sanders (67')
Sanders (90+6')
Casey (11'), Ebiye (90+4')
> Preview
May 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Motherwell
1-2
St Johnstone
Ebiye (90+4')
Clark (18'), Sidibeh (45+1')
Keltjens (52')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
St Johnstone
1-1
Motherwell
McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')
Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
1-1
St Johnstone
Biereth (90+2')
Mugabi (53' og.)
> Preview