MX23RW : Friday, February 14 23:42:47| >> :600:394209:394209:
Queen of the South
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
St Mirren logo

QotS
1 - 3
St Mirren

Dickenson (74')
Hewitt (42'), Douglas (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olusanya (10', 20'), Boyd-Munce (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Queen of the South and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 1-1 QotS
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Queen of the South 0-2 St Mirren

Despite their recent Scottish Premiership struggles, St Mirren should have the quality to get past their third-tier hosts on Saturday and book their fifth-round spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawSt Mirren
30.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 44.31% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)46.41% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)68.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)28.31% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.123 -0.12)64.04% (0.119 0.12)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 30.84%
    St Mirren 44.31%
    Draw 24.84%
Queen of the SouthDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 44.31%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
St Mirren
1-0
QotS
Gogic (71')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Group Stage
QotS
2-2
St Mirren
(Aggregate 2-2 | St Mirren win 4-2 on penalties)
Shields (8'), Fitzpatrick (12')
McGrath (51'), Fraser (89')
Erhahon (76')
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
St Mirren
2-0
QotS
Smith (4'), Davis (33' pen.)
Smith (81')

Rankin (32'), Thomson (55')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
QotS
2-3
St Mirren
Dobbie (1'), Kane (6')
Dobbie (1'), Brownlie (34'), Rankin (45'), Tapping (90')
Reilly (19'), Smith (35'), MacKenzie (68')
McGinn (45')
rhs 2.0
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