Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.