Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	St Mirren
30.84% ( -0.09)	24.85% ( 0.01)	44.31% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 56.63% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59% (

-0.08)

46.41% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31% (

-0.08)

68.69% (

0.08)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.1)

28.31% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

-0.12)

64.04% (

0.12)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0)

21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

-0)

53.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 30.84%

St Mirren 44.31%

Draw 24.84%

Queen of the South	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.84%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.31%