Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
37.64% ( 0.08) | 25.86% ( 0) | 36.5% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% ( -0.02) | 49.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( -0.01) | 71.58% ( 0.01) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0.04) | 25.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% ( 0.05) | 60.62% ( -0.05) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.05) | 26.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.07) | 61.49% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |