Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 37.64% ( | 25.86% ( | 36.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.44% ( | 49.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( | 71.58% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( | 26.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( | 61.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.5% |