Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.