Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.