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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2025 at 12pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

FT(HT: 0-1)
McCart (20' og., 73' og.), Cerny (61')
Hagi (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
31.87% (-1.146 -1.15)23.94% (0.073999999999998 0.07)44.18% (1.078 1.08)
Both teams to score 60.28% (-0.753 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.782 -0.78)41.85% (0.789 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.793 -0.79)64.25% (0.798 0.8)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (-1.06 -1.06)25.42% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77% (-1.473 -1.47)60.23% (1.48 1.48)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.142 0.14)19.18% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (0.231 0.23)50.85% (-0.225 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 31.87%
    Rangers 44.18%
    Draw 23.94%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.171 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.316 0.32)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 44.18%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
46.2%
Draw
23.1%
Rangers
30.8%
39
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 12
Rangers
1-0
Hearts
Dessers (6')
Diomande (74'), Sterling (80')

Devlin (57'), Oyegoke (67'), Dhanda (89')
Aug 3, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hearts
0-0
Rangers
Devlin (33'), Rowles (54'), Oyegoke (90+5')
Diomande (64')
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Hearts
3-3
Rangers
Shankland (33'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')
McCausland (52'), Cantwell (69'), Silva (79')
Dowell (63')
Apr 21, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Rangers
2-0
Hearts
Dessers (5', 78')
Souttar (59'), Raskin (82')

Devlin (59'), Tait (82')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Diomande (2'), Cortes (37'), Dessers (44', 48'), Silva (65')
Souttar (41'), Raskin (78')

Shankland (45+2'), Tait (88')