Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
61.61% (![]() | 21.57% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.5% (![]() | 46.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% (![]() | 68.78% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.43% (![]() | 14.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.37% (![]() | 42.62% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.02% (![]() | 40.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% (![]() | 77.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 11.49% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 61.6% | 1-1 @ 10.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.33% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 56 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 34 |
6 | St Mirren | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 31 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
8 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
9 | Hearts | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |