MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 21:17:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
3 - 2
Kilmarnock

Kabangu (7'), McCart (58'), Grant (61')
Grant (45+5'), Boateng (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wales (50'), Murray (67')
Deas (42'), Magennis (45+3'), Watkins (45+5'), Armstrong (54'), Watson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brechin 1-4 Hearts
Friday, January 17 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 2-0 Kilmarnock

Hearts are coming into this one in much greater form than their opposition, remaining undefeated in their last five, and we expect that streak to continue with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
61.61% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 21.57% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 16.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)46.5% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-0.012 -0.01)68.78% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.57% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.02% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.97% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 61.6%
    Kilmarnock 16.81%
    Draw 21.56%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.81%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
93.3%
Draw
3.3%
Kilmarnock
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hearts
Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')
Deas (6')

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic26223176126469
2RangersRangers26175454203456
3Aberdeen26115103439-538
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2610793231137
5Hibernian2681083737034
6St Mirren2694133039-931
7Kilmarnock2687113141-1031
8Motherwell2694133045-1531
9Hearts2686123536-130
10Ross County2678112747-2029
11Dundee2676133855-1727
12St Johnstone2663172951-2221


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