Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Glebe Park

Brechin
1 - 4
Hearts

Bright (23')
Spark (17'), Robertson (32'), Macleod (42'), Sheridan (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dhanda (40'), McHattie (52' og.), Kabangu (62', 79')
Forrester (36'), Dhanda (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Brechin City and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brechin City

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone U21s 2-1 Brechin
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	East Fife	43	2.15	Trouten
2	Elgin	30	1.58	Dingwall
3	Edinburgh	27	1.35	Young
4	Peterhead	27	1.35	McAllister
5	Clyde	25	1.25	Allan
6	Stirling	24	1.26	Brown
7	Bonnyrigg Rose	21	1.17	Ross
8	Spartans	21	1.24	Henderson
9	Forfar	17	0.89	McLean
10	Stranraer	16	0.89	Russell

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Hearts
Sunday, January 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 9.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.02%) and 0-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Brechin City	Draw	Hearts
9.16%	15.31%	75.53%

Both teams to score 48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.38%

58.62%

Brechin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.24%

46.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.69%

82.31%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.9%

8.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.54%

28.46%

Score Analysis

Brechin City 9.16%

Hearts 75.52%

Draw 15.31%

Brechin City	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 2.88% 2-1 @ 2.75% 2-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.44% Total : 9.16%	1-1 @ 7.24% 0-0 @ 3.79% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.83% Total : 15.31%	0-2 @ 11.96% 0-3 @ 10.02% 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-4 @ 6.3% 1-4 @ 4.79% 0-5 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-5 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.82% 0-6 @ 1.33% 1-6 @ 1.01% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.7% Total : 75.52%