Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.