Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Hamilton Academical
46.26% ( 0.32)	23.83% ( -0.1)	29.92% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.76% (

0.33)

42.24% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

0.33)

64.65% (

-0.33)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.26)

18.48% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

0.44)

49.68% (

-0.43)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.02)

26.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

0.03)

62.16% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 46.26%

Hamilton Academical 29.92%

Draw 23.82%

St Johnstone	Draw	Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 46.26%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.92%