Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Ibrox Stadium

Queen's Park
2 - 3
Ayr

Turner (49', 49'), Rudden (54', 54')
Ferrie (66'), Duncan (69'), Welsh (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rus (65'), Dempsey (76'), Main (79')
McKenzie (75'), Rus (80')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Queen's Park and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-4 Queen's Park
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 4-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Queen's Park	Draw	Ayr United
34.52% ( -0.8)	25.49% ( -0.11)	39.98% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

0.36)

48.15% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

0.33)

70.3% (

-0.32)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0.3)

26.84% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

-0.4)

62.14% (

0.41)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.63)

23.82% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

0.89)

57.99% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Queen's Park 34.52%

Ayr United 39.98%

Draw 25.49%

Queen's Park	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.52%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.98%