Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.