Scottish Challenge Cup
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
6
2
HT : 5 4
ET Ochilview Park
  • Zak Rudden 1' goal
  • Zak Rudden 1' goal
  • Zak Rudden 1' goal
  • Ryan Duncan 23' goal
  • Ryan Duncan 23' goal
  • Ryan Duncan 49' yellowcard
  • Ryan Duncan 49' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 52' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 52' yellowcard
  • Reece Evans 91' goal
  • Zak Rudden 92' yellowcard
  • Matty Connolly 96' goal
  • Zak Rudden 97' goal
  • Reece Evans 107' goal
  • goal Jack Leitch 32'
  • goal Jack Leitch 32'
  • yellowcard Ian McShane 39'
  • yellowcard Ian McShane 39'
  • goal David Ferguson 44'
  • goal David Ferguson 44'
  • yellowcard Sean Fagan 55'
  • yellowcard Sean Fagan 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Spence 80'
  • yellowcard Kieran MacDonald 95'

Queen's Park vs East Kilbride - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions

East Kilbride

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.

Result

Queen's Park 54.95% (-1.16)
Draw 22.02% (+0.38)
East Kilbride 23.04% (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.45% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.42% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 39.58% (+0.84)
Over 3.5 38.07% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 61.93% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 20.61% (-0.69)
Under 4.5 79.39% (+0.69)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5 85.63% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 14.37% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 57.75% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 42.25% (+1.27)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 0.5 69.42% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 30.58% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 33.19% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 66.81% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Queen's Park 54.95%
Draw 22.02%
East Kilbride 23.04%
Queen's Park
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.81% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.39% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.02%
East Kilbride
1-2 @ 5.98% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.21% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.09% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.36% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.04%