Queen's Park
Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park

Queen's Park
6 - 2
East Kilbride

Rudden (1', 1', 1', 97'), Duncan (23', 23'), Evans (91', 107'), Connolly (96' og.)
Duncan (49'), Duncan (49'), Welsh (52'), Welsh (52'), Rudden (92')
FT
(aet)
Leitch (32', 32'), Ferguson (44', 44')
McShane (39'), McShane (39'), Fagan (55'), Fagan (55'), Spence (80'), MacDonald (95')
Queen's Park win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Queen's Park and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Morton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-2 Ayr
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Falkirk391.86Miller
2Ayr361.64Oakley
3Livingston301.36May
4Hamilton271.35Shaw
5Partick271.23Graham
6Queen's Park241.09Rudden
7Dunfermline210.95Kane
8Morton190.95Stuparevic
9Raith Rovers190.95Easton
10Airdrieonians140.67Mochrie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.

Result
Queen's ParkDrawEast Kilbride
54.95% (-1.154 -1.15)22.02% (0.376 0.38)23.04% (0.779 0.78)
Both teams to score 59.45% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.42% (-0.831 -0.83)39.58% (0.832 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.07% (-0.871 -0.87)61.93% (0.872 0.87)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63% (-0.642 -0.64)14.37% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75% (-1.262 -1.26)42.25% (1.263 1.26)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (0.208 0.21)30.58% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (0.244 0.24)66.81% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Queen's Park 54.95%
    East Kilbride 23.04%
    Draw 22.02%
Queen's ParkDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.168 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 23.04%