Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
| 20.5% ( | 23.65% ( | 55.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( | 49.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.3% ( | 38.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.56% ( | 75.44% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( | 17.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.72% ( | 48.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 3-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.5% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-2 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-3 @ 5.94% ( 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.84% |