Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians
0 - 3
Falkirk

Frizzell (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Wilson (9' og.), Spencer (39'), Stewart (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 4-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
14.6% ( 0.17)	20.42% ( -0.29)	64.97% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

1.57)

45.7% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

1.47)

68.02% (

-1.48)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57% (

1.2)

43.43% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35% (

0.98)

79.65% (

-0.99)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.71% (

0.52)

13.29% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.89% (

1.05)

40.11% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 14.6%

Falkirk 64.96%

Draw 20.42%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.6%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.42%	0-2 @ 11.75% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.86% Total : 64.96%