Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
Hamilton logo

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Hamilton

Frizzell (65'), Gallagher (86')
McDonald (83'), Bannon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGinty (83')
Tumilty (44')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-3 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
40.24% (1.475 1.48)25.75% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)34.01% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.36% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-0.073 -0.07)71.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.738 0.74)24.23% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (1.032 1.03)58.57% (-1.023 -1.02)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)27.74% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-1.181 -1.18)63.31% (1.191 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.24%
    Hamilton Academical 34.01%
    Draw 25.74%
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.01%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hamilton
3-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (14', 90'), McKinstry (38')
Martin (41')
Mochrie (19'), Gallagher (45')
McMaster (16')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Airdrieonians
0-4
Hamilton

Agyemang (12'), Watson (81')
Smith (3'), Graham (9' og.), O'Hara (54'), McGowan (82')
Hendrie (56'), McGowan (64')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hamilton
2-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (47', 78')
O'Hara (45')
Reid (80'), Aiken (87')
McDonald (19'), Armstrong (22')
May 20, 2023 5.15pm
Final 2nd Leg
Hamilton
2-1
Airdrieonians
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-5 on penalties)
Smith (23'), Tiehi (80')
Tumilty (76'), Martin (106'), Smith (120+2')
McGill (90+1')
McGill (34')
> Preview
May 17, 2023 7.35pm
Final 1st Leg
Airdrieonians
1-0
Hamilton
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-6 on penalties)
Smith (56')
Smith (52'), Ballantyne (68'), Watson (86')
Watson (90+2')

Smith (43'), Shiels (72'), McGowan (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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