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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Old Stadium, Phnom Penh
Dunfermline Athletic

Hamilton
1 - 0
Dunfermline

McKinstry (63')
Bradley (70'), McCann (83'), Chilokoa-Mullen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84'), Shaw (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawDunfermline Athletic
43.03% (0.211 0.21)26.16% (-0.041 -0.04)30.81% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.099999999999994 0.1)52% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.087 0.09)73.73% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.148 0.15)23.99% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.212 0.21)58.23% (-0.214 -0.21)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)31.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)67.48% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 43.02%
    Dunfermline Athletic 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dunfermline
3-2
Hamilton
Todd (56'), Cooper (82', 88')
Hamilton (35'), Otoo (73')
McGinty (74'), Shaw (90' pen.)
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Hamilton
1-0
Dunfermline
Tumilty (26')
Williamson (50'), Martin (53')

Fisher (38'), Ritchie-Hosler (56')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hamilton
2-2
Dunfermline
Moyo (25', 77')
Moyo (56'), Popescu (71')
Donaldson (6'), Lawless (52' pen.)
Edwards (45+2'), Dow (53')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Dunfermline
1-0
Hamilton
Dow (32')
Allan (59'), Todd (90+2')

Mimnaugh (75')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hamilton
1-0
Dunfermline
Moyo (61' pen.)
Martin (75'), Popescu (88')

O'Hara (72'), Connolly (86'), McCann (88')
Dorrans (61')