Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 43.03% ( | 26.16% ( | 30.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( | 52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( | 73.73% ( |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( | 23.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( | 58.23% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( | 31.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.81% |