Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 45.19% ( | 26.56% ( | 28.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( | 54.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( | 76.04% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.44% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( | 71.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.24% |