Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Stenhousemuir

Dunfermline
3 - 0
Stenhousemuir

Hamilton (15'), Otoo (41'), McCann (46')
Wotherspoon (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jacobs (19'), Yates (35'), Bilham (81'), (87'), Anderson (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Ayr
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawStenhousemuir
44.56%25.65%29.78%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66%50.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72%72.27%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89%56.1%
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97%31.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66%67.34%
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 44.55%
    Stenhousemuir 29.78%
    Draw 25.65%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.18%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Dunfermline
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Wighton (15', 44'), O'Hara (36', 49')
Thomson (67')
Lyon (72')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Dunfermline
5-0
Stenhousemuir
Falkingham (28'), Paton (31'), El-Bakhtaoui (54'), Wallace (69', 79')
Falkingham (63')

Marenghi (14'), Cook (30'), Stirling (56')
McCabe (77')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Sep 19, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0


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