Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 34.79% ( | 25.69% ( | 39.51% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( | 48.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( | 71.06% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% | 27.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( | 62.45% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 3.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.51% |