Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 37.87% ( | 27.55% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% ( | 77.57% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( | 64.78% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( | 30.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.58% |