Scottish League One | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

The C&G Systems Stadium

Dumbarton
2 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Orsi (70', 89')
Niang (84'), Orsi (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Ware (20'), Cunningham (72')
Allan (68')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-0 QotS
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
45.89% ( -0)	23.45% ( -0)	30.65% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.43% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94% (

0.01)

40.06% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.57% (

0.01)

62.42% (

-0.01)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

17.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.54% (

48.46% (

-0)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.01)

25.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

0.01)

60.06% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 45.89%

Kelty Hearts 30.65%

Draw 23.45%

Dumbarton	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.83% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.65%