Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20

Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
2 - 0
Hamilton

Adeloye (28'), Lyall (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinty (45+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Hamilton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Hamilton Academical
47.97% ( 0.33)	26.13% ( -0.17)	25.9% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.27% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54% (

0.52)

54.46% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

0.43)

75.82% (

-0.43)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

0.37)

22.71% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.62% (

0.55)

56.38% (

-0.55)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75% (

0.14)

36.25% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

0.14)

73.03% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 47.97%

Hamilton Academical 25.9%

Draw 26.13%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.97%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.9%