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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.94%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.74%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City |
| 85.94% ( | 9.98% ( | 4.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.77% ( | 53.23% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.93% ( | 5.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.83% ( | 20.17% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.56% ( | 58.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.16% ( | 89.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 13.16% ( 3-0 @ 13.09% ( 4-0 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 5-0 @ 5.83% ( 4-1 @ 5.25% ( 5-1 @ 3.13% ( 6-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 6-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 7-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 85.93% | 1-1 @ 4.74% ( 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 2-2 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 9.98% | 0-1 @ 1.59% ( 1-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.09% |