Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.