Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 3-0 (6.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.34%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.