Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 28
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Brann Stadion
Lillestrom

Brann
2 - 1
Lillestrom

Heggebo (45+2'), Castro (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Karlsbakk (58')
Martin Krygard (35'), Lundemo (54'), Jeahze (55')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Odd 0-3 Brann
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-1 Haugesund
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for SK Brann in this match.

Result
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
70.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)16.2% (0.012 0.01)13.13% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.14% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)28.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.2% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)49.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.29% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)34.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.012 0.01)71.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 70.66%
    Lillestrom 13.13%
    Draw 16.2%
SK BrannDrawLillestrom
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 70.66%
1-1 @ 7.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 16.2%
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 13.13%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 6.15pm
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lillestrom
0-2
Brann

Ibrahimaj (22'), Rogers (22'), Thompson (27'), Edh (57'), Gabrielsen (68'), Garnas (75')
Heltne Nilsen (31' pen.), Mathisen (47')
Sery (32'), Baardsen Pedersen (42')
Jun 11, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 10
Brann
2-2
Lillestrom
Heltne Nilsen (57' pen.), Castro (60')
Borsting (70'), Myhre (84')
Edh (24'), Tonnessen (73')
Garnas (36'), Edh (55'), Skogvold (90')
Sep 11, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lillestrom
2-3
Brann
Garnas (59'), Lehne Olsen (71')
Garnas (39')
Taylor (17'), Finne (65'), Heggebo (74')
Pallesen Knudsen (34')
Jun 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Brann
1-1
Lillestrom
Bamba (58')
Lehne Olsen (87')
Ranger (68')