Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fredrikstad in this match.

Result
Fredrikstad	Draw	Lillestrom
41.87% ( -1.37)	24.85% ( 0.21)	33.28% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

-0.57)

45.55% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

-0.55)

67.88% (

0.55)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.87)

21.76% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-1.35)

54.94% (

1.35)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

0.44)

26.35% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.51% (

0.58)

61.49% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Fredrikstad 41.87%

Lillestrom 33.28%

Draw 24.85%

Fredrikstad	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.87%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.28%