Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.