Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 19

Aug 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Marienlyst Stadion

Stromsgodset
3 - 2
Lillestrom

Melkersen (6', 90+4'), Moller (72')
Moller (80'), Mehnert (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gabrielsen (5'), Lehne Olsen (37' pen.)
Hagerup (6'), Tonnessen (35'), Ibrahimaj (54')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Stromsgodset and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stromsgodset

All competitions

Last Game: Sandefjord 2-2 Stromsgodset
Friday, August 9 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Lillestrom

All competitions

Last Game: Lillestrom 1-2 Molde
Sunday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.

Result
Stromsgodset	Draw	Lillestrom
41.17% ( -1.59)	22.96% ( -0.1)	35.87% ( 1.69)

Both teams to score 65.3% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.18% (

0.9)

35.82% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.1% (

0.98)

57.9% (

-0.98)

Stromsgodset Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.29)

17.98% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17% (

-0.5)

48.83% (

0.5)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

1.27)

20.39% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

1.99)

52.81% (

-1.99)

Score Analysis

Stromsgodset 41.17%

Lillestrom 35.87%

Draw 22.95%

Stromsgodset	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.9% Total : 41.17%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.87%