Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.