Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fredrikstad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fredrikstad.