Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
0 - 1
Fredrikstad


Andre Soras (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Molde (63')
Thomassen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between HamKam and Fredrikstad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HamKam

All competitions
Last Game: Odd 1-2 HamKam
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Last Game: Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde
Saturday, July 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fredrikstad in this match.

Result
HamKamDrawFredrikstad
28.64% (0.045999999999999 0.05)26.91% (0.077000000000002 0.08)44.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.27 -0.27)55.85% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.221 -0.22)76.97% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (-0.107 -0.11)34.76% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (-0.115 -0.12)71.49% (0.113 0.11)
Fredrikstad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.182 -0.18)25% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.255 -0.25)59.65% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 28.64%
    Fredrikstad 44.43%
    Draw 26.91%
HamKamDrawFredrikstad
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: HamKam vs Fredrikstad

HamKam
53.2%
Draw
36.2%
Fredrikstad
10.6%
47