Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.