Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.