Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21
Sep 1, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Brann Stadion

Brann
1 - 3
Sarpsborg

Castro (57' pen.)
Sery (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Orjasaeter (10'), Sandberg (63'), Johansen (78' pen.)
Sher (43'), Michelsen (54'), Hiim (90+2')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Astana 3-0 Brann
Thursday, August 29 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 6-0 Sarpsborg
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 74.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 10.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
SK BrannDrawSarpsborg 08
74.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)14.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)10.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)50.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.24% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)38.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 74.33%
    Sarpsborg 08 10.73%
    Draw 14.95%
SK BrannDrawSarpsborg 08
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.86%
5-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 74.33%
1-1 @ 6.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.28%
0-0 @ 2.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 14.95%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-1 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 10.73%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 15
Sarpsborg
1-1
Brann
Meister (90+1')
Johansen (10'), Orjasaeter (15'), Michelsen (38'), Wichne (77')
Michelsen (90+6')
Heggebo (90+4')
Myhre (80'), Pallesen Knudsen (85'), Heggebo (90+9')
Sep 3, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Brann
1-0
Sarpsborg
Heltne Nilsen (69' pen.)
Borsting (4'), Finne (36'), Myhre (83'), Sery (84')

Skipper (42'), Lundqvist (68'), Zekhnini (76')
Skipper (67')
May 13, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
2-1
Brann
Maigaard (23'), Andersen (37')
Maigaard (28'), Wichne (88')
Finne (79')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 30
Brann
2-1
Sarpsborg
Canadija (90')
Karamoko (35'), Odegaard (42'), Thomassen (74'), Wichne (82'), Jarl (88')
Jun 13, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
0-0
Brann
Skaanes (40'), Bamba (76')