Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Fredrikstad win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.