Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.