Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
0 - 1
Ajax

Lawrence (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, February 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Ajax
8.39% ( -0.01)	15.8% ( -0.01)	75.8% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.52% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.36% (

0.01)

41.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.96% (

0.01)

64.04% (

-0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.98% (

-0.02)

52.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.98% (

-0.01)

86.02% (

0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.71% (

0.01)

9.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.65% (

0.02)

31.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Almere City 8.39%

Ajax 75.79%

Draw 15.8%

Almere City	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.39%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.8%	0-2 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.47% 0-3 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.06% 0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.2% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-6 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 75.79%