Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • James Lawrence 54' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 8'

Almere City vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 7.00pm
Feyenoord 2 - 1 Almere City
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Junior Kadile

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 1.30pm
Ajax 2 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Almere City 8.39% (-0.01)
Draw 15.8% (-0.01)
Ajax 75.8% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.52% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.36% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.64% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 64.04% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.99% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.01% (-0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 47.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 52.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 13.98% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.02% (+0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 90.71% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 9.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 68.65% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 31.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Almere City 8.39%
Draw 15.8%
Ajax 75.79%
Almere City
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.8%
Ajax
0-2 @ 13.64% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 11.47%
0-3 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.06%
0-4 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 2% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-6 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 75.79%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Wout Weghorst 12' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 40' goal
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 55' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joey Jacobs 50'
  • yellowcard Junior Kadile 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Sivert Mannsverk 26' yellowcard
  • Steven Bergwijn 29' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 34' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 38' goal
  • Ahmetcan Kaplan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jorrel Hato 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hamdi Akujobi 10'
  • yellowcard Damian van Bruggen 52'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Joey Jacobs 7' yellowcard
  • Damian van Bruggen 15' yellowcard
  • Thomas Robinet 15' yellowcard
  • Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp 67' goal
  • Stije Resink 75' yellowcard
  • Thomas Robinet 90'+3' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 15'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 68'
  • goal Benjamin Tahirovic 82'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 90'+1'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Joey Jacobs 47' goal
  • goal Brian Brobbey 35'
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 78'