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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 34.88% ( | 24.27% ( | 40.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( | 64.86% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( | 23.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( | 58.19% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( | 53.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.86% |