Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 20, 2025 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
1 - 2
Union SG

(Ajax win 3-2 on aggregate)

Taylor (93' pen.)
Rosa (32'), Gaaei (59'), Henderson (60'), Henderson (62'), Kaplan (71'), Taylor (101'), Hato (120+5')

FT
(aet)

Mac Allister (16'), Akinpelu (28' pen.)
Boufal (59'), Sadiki (73'), Khalaili (93'), Mac Allister (99'), Burgess (105'), Van de Perre (120+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Sunday, February 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union SG

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Mechelen
Sunday, February 16 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	Union SG
44.83% ( -0.03)	24.83% ( 0.01)	30.33% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.05)

46.58% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.04)

68.85% (

0.04)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

-0.03)

20.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

-0.05)

53.51% (

0.05)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-0.01)

28.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.02)

64.58% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 44.83%

Union SG 30.33%

Draw 24.83%

Ajax	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.83%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.33%